Forecast: South African 2019 general election results

Forecasting the results of the 2019 general election, the ANC is likely to win a close contest with 55% of the national vote, compared to 29% for the DA, 12% for the EFF and 4% for the other parties combined. In the system of proportional representation, this would...

Five Principles of Foreknowledge

Five Principles of Foreknowledge   Foreknowledge is structured information about the future based on analysis of the underlying shaping forces and causal factors which are most likely to influence events, conditions, decisions and outcomes. The five principles of...

Outline of a scientific method for investigating the future

Outline of a scientific method for investigating the future By Michael Lee  “Observation informs us about the past and the present; reason foretells the future.” Hans Riechenbach, The Rise of Scientific Philosophy (1951) Nothing epistemologically exotic needs to be...

The Compelling Benefits of a Scientific Approach to SA’s Future

The Compelling Benefits of a Scientific Approach to SA’s Future By Michael Lee Skoobs Theatre of Books, Shop 74, Montecasino 6pm, Wednesday 17th July, 2013 Good evening, Ladies and Gentlemen, thank you so much for coming to Skoobs Theatre of Books, the most...

Regularity and predictability

Regularity and predictability:  piecing together the “unseen unknown” of the future By Michael Lee “If nature were not beautiful, it would not be worth knowing, and if nature were not worth knowing, life would not be worth living.” Henri Poincaré, The Foundations of...

The Sunset of the Alchemy of Uncertainty

The Sunset of the Alchemy of Uncertainty By Michael Lee “Thus the centre of the system of the world is immovable.” Isaac Newton Principia Mathematica (Book 111) (1687) Gradually, the medieval practices of the alchemists gave way to the modern discipline of chemistry,...